Hiroko's Econ Blog

Just another WordPress.com weblog

Thailand – deficit/surplus

1980 -6.394 1988 -2.683 1995 -7.877 2002 3.693 2009 7.689
1981 -7.378 1989 -3.457 1996 -7.887 2003 3.354 2010 2.496
1982 -2.741 1990 -8.334 1997 -2.061 2004 1.715 2011 0.347
1983 -7.176 1991 -7.5 1998 12.776 2005 -4.333 2012 -0.235
1984 -5.045 1992 -5.5 1999 10.166 2006 1.117 2013 -0.039
1985 -3.952 1993 -5.03 2000 7.601 2007 6.346 2014 0.031
1986 0.573 1994 -5.406 2001 4.426 2008 0.599 2015 0.17
1987 -0.725

The diagram above illustrates the changes in percent of GDP in correlation with the current account balance. As can be seen, there are great fluctuations which indicate a continuous change in the balance of payments from deficit to surplus. When the percentage is high, that means that the country is currently in deficit and when the percentage is low, this means that the current account is in surplus. This is because a high percentage of GDP indicates that the there is a lot of money going out (imports) as appose to money coming in (exports).

The section for 2010 is missing because something may still vary this value. the IMF have predicted that the percentage of GDP will be around 2.496. This means that the predicted state of the balance of payments is in surplus.

 

As seen in the article “Thailand Posts Trade Deficit“, it discusses the way the Thailand is falling into its first trade deficit in 17 months due to seasonal factors.

November 29, 2010 - Posted by | Uncategorized

1 Comment »

  1. I agree with everything you wrote, the idea of surplus in correlation with change % of GDP of Japan. One thing that’s interesting on your graph is from 1996 to 1997, there is a huge leap in the percentage of GDP. One reason must be that the GDP was high so exports increased (outflow of money).

    Comment by moekoibeconomicsyear1 | November 30, 2010 | Reply


Leave a comment